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Red49
176416.7
93523.9
171021.4
Blue56
176914.6
941014.6
545417.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106690501504956

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#28
23.93.2
32.729.6
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
red by 6.4
5454
#23
17.51.8
20.919.1
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
Second
1710
#27
21.43.2
33.830.6
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 6.8
14.61.8
19.717.8
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
1764
#25
16.73.2
25.021.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.5
End2.0
red by 2.0
9410
#26
14.61.8
26.124.3
Auto7.7
Teleop5.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed