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Red52
392823.7
181012.6
171021.4
Blue31
955114.0
509812.5
20012.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions722704060801001201401605231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.8
22.721.8
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 9.8
9551
#17
14.01.0
14.613.6
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
Second
1710
#27
21.40.8
22.321.5
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 9.0
5098
#33
12.51.0
10.39.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5
Third
1810
#29
12.60.8
14.413.6
Auto7.8
Teleop4.7
End0.1
red by 9.9
2001
#42
2.61.0
4.53.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
49%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed