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Red83
17759.1
392823.7
235729.4
Blue98
328423.4
642429.3
271814.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696840506080908398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.40.4
29.129.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.3
End4.7
red by 0.1
29.30.4
27.828.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
23.70.4
23.423.7
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
red by 0.3
23.40.4
21.922.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Third
1775
#22
9.10.4
8.89.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End0.2
blue by 5.7
2718
#24
14.90.4
13.413.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0