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Red130
271814.9
642429.3
328423.4
Blue57
182518.3
511913.7
93523.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions726005010015013057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.0
28.229.2
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End3.1
red by 5.4
935
#28
23.90.0
23.923.9
Auto10.3
Teleop11.6
End2.0
Second
23.41.0
22.323.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
red by 5.1
1825
#11
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto8.1
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Third
2718
#24
14.91.0
13.814.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 1.2
5119
#21
13.70.0
13.713.7
Auto6.3
Teleop5.9
End1.5