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Red77
176914.6
509812.5
110828.7
Blue67
580126.3
198213.5
545417.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556502040801001201407767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.6
27.027.6
Auto11.6
Teleop15.1
End2.0
red by 2.4
5801
#13
26.30.2
26.426.7
Auto7.9
Teleop17.2
End1.2
Second
14.60.6
13.414.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 2.8
5454
#23
17.50.2
17.617.8
Auto8.8
Teleop8.2
End0.5
Third
5098
#33
12.50.6
10.811.3
Auto3.3
Teleop8.7
End0.5
blue by 1.0
13.50.2
13.613.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.0
End1.3