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Red56
198729.2
180211.6
512620.0
Blue82
198622.8
171021.4
501323.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions687502004006008001,0001,2005682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.1
29.929.8
Auto13.9
Teleop13.0
End2.3
red by 6.2
5013
#10
23.00.3
22.923.2
Auto7.5
Teleop13.4
End2.1
Second
20.00.1
20.820.6
Auto8.4
Teleop11.1
End0.5
blue by 2.7
1986
#14
22.80.3
22.723.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Third
1802
#18
11.60.1
11.711.6
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End1.5
blue by 9.9
1710
#27
21.40.3
21.421.7
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6