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Red91
574615.8
634621.0
17637.0
Blue34
216816.5
514220.3
870917.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6043020801009134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#1
37.04.1
24.929.0
Auto12.3
Teleop22.9
End1.8
red by 16.7
20.30.7
13.612.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.0
Second
6346
#23
21.02.5
17.219.7
Auto6.1
Teleop13.6
End1.3
red by 3.4
17.60.7
11.610.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
Third
15.82.5
10.012.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9
blue by 0.7
2168
#10
16.50.7
15.514.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed