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Red84
23025.7
314622.7
97109.5
Blue29
365414.6
769417.2
672312.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49381020306070808429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#13
25.74.3
19.123.4
Auto11.4
Teleop13.2
End1.1
red by 8.5
17.20.6
13.512.9
Auto6.3
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Second
22.72.6
14.917.5
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 8.1
3654
#21
14.61.0
12.411.4
Auto9.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Third
9710
#17
9.50.4
13.113.5
Auto4.3
Teleop5.0
End0.3
blue by 3.4
6723
#30
12.91.0
10.09.0
Auto6.0
Teleop5.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed