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Red40
314622.7
19518.6
109913.9
Blue75
888917.5
870917.6
71620.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62612040801001204075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.4
23.022.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 1.8
716
#11
20.90.1
20.620.7
Auto8.7
Teleop10.9
End1.3
Second
195
#3
18.60.4
19.018.6
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 1.0
17.60.1
17.317.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.0
End0.8
Third
1099
#24
13.90.4
14.313.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 3.6
8889
#14
17.50.1
17.317.4
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.9