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Red60
314622.7
19518.6
109913.9
Blue47
457216.9
574615.8
22818.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62562040801006047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.70.1
22.722.7
Auto10.6
Teleop9.5
End2.6
red by 4.3
228
#16
18.40.1
18.418.3
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End0.3
Second
195
#3
18.60.1
18.618.7
Auto4.0
Teleop13.6
End1.0
red by 1.7
4572
#28
16.90.1
17.016.9
Auto5.2
Teleop10.1
End1.7
Third
1099
#24
13.90.1
13.914.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 1.9
15.80.1
15.915.7
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End1.9