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Red119
436244.8
722631.9
447638.6
Blue112
975237.9
409927.5
463544.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411880100140160119112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.80.4
43.543.9
Auto11.8
Teleop27.1
End6.0
red by 0.6
4635
#14
44.20.3
45.045.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.2
End2.8
Second
4476
#22
38.60.4
36.536.9
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6
red by 0.7
37.90.3
35.535.7
Auto11.5
Teleop24.4
End2.1
Third
7226
#16
31.90.4
31.331.7
Auto8.8
Teleop20.8
End2.4
red by 4.4
4099
#64
27.50.3
27.327.6
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
67%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsMissed