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Red102
404335.3
384746.7
4525.4
Blue79
365422.9
36525.8
901625.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127765010015010279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.70.4
47.046.5
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
red by 20.9
365
#47
25.80.3
25.925.5
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
Second
4043
#25
35.30.4
35.835.3
Auto12.1
Teleop19.5
End3.7
red by 9.8
9016
#29
25.50.3
25.825.5
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
Third
45
#37
25.40.4
25.825.4
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End3.0
red by 2.5
3654
#57
22.90.3
23.222.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
62%Ensemble oddsEarned46%Ensemble oddsMissed