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Red64
164028.7
127915.3
34625.2
Blue105
970920.2
566729.2
212938.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7599020406012014016064105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1640
#68
28.70.6
29.328.7
Auto10.9
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 9.7
2129
#23
38.40.8
39.139.9
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
Second
346
#69
25.20.6
25.825.2
Auto10.4
Teleop9.9
End5.0
blue by 4.0
5667
#35
29.20.8
28.429.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Third
1279
#73
15.30.6
15.915.3
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 4.9
9709
#38
20.20.8
19.420.2
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
60%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed