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Red62
742130.9
127915.3
940315.2
Blue119
384746.7
213727.8
14428.3
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681232040608010014016018062119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7421
#43
30.90.4
30.730.3
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
blue by 15.8
46.70.6
46.547.1
Auto15.3
Teleop26.1
End5.3
Second
1279
#73
15.30.4
21.521.1
Auto6.3
Teleop7.7
End1.2
blue by 13.0
144
#33
28.30.6
32.032.6
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
9403
#60
15.20.4
16.115.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.2
End2.4
blue by 12.6
2137
#31
27.80.6
26.026.7
Auto5.4
Teleop17.4
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed85%Ensemble oddsEarned