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Qual 182024 Curie Division
Red86
500215.8
12544.7
156130.5
Blue128
515237.0
220043.2
860839.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions941162040608014016018086128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#26
44.70.2
43.8→43.6
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
red by 1.5
2200
#1
43.21.1
39.6→40.7
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
Second
1561
#52
30.50.2
31.9→31.6
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End0.4
blue by 9.0
8608
#7
39.41.1
32.2→33.3
Auto14.8
Teleop19.2
End5.4
Third
5002
#59
15.80.2
12.0→11.8
Auto6.8
Teleop6.1
End2.9
blue by 21.2
5152
#13
37.01.1
30.4→31.4
Auto11.9
Teleop22.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsEarned