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Red69
248145.8
14428.3
101415.8
Blue75
12544.7
901625.5
95647.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113802040601001401601806975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21Sur
45.82.9
49.246.2
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 1.1
125
#26Sur
44.71.1
43.642.5
Auto14.9
Teleop23.0
End6.7
Second
144
#33
28.32.9
32.629.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End2.4
red by 2.8
9016
#29
25.51.1
26.225.1
Auto11.5
Teleop10.5
End3.5
Third
1014
#63
15.82.9
16.513.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.5
End3.3
red by 8.7
9564
#70
7.11.1
6.75.6
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsMissed73%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsEarned67%Ensemble oddsMissed