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Red77
36525.8
970920.2
857523.9
Blue119
62435.3
93031.6
719732.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions671082040608010012014016077119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#47
25.80.8
24.325.1
Auto7.0
Teleop15.5
End3.3
blue by 9.5
624
#17
35.31.1
36.137.2
Auto10.3
Teleop22.1
End2.9
Second
8575
#46
23.90.8
21.522.3
Auto8.5
Teleop13.7
End1.7
blue by 8.7
7197
#28
32.61.1
31.332.4
Auto12.2
Teleop18.8
End1.7
Third
9709
#38
20.20.8
19.920.7
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
blue by 11.4
930
#27
31.61.1
25.326.4
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsEarned