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Red50
328421.3
317919.4
716628.3
Blue107
318122.7
19024.7
766023.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75715060809010050107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7166
#41
28.31.1
25.924.8
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
red by 3.6
190
#32
24.71.7
25.026.7
Auto8.3
Teleop13.6
End2.8
Second
3284
#61
21.31.1
22.621.4
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End0.1
blue by 1.6
7660
#39
23.01.7
18.820.4
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
3179
#42
19.41.1
18.617.5
Auto6.0
Teleop11.1
End2.3
blue by 3.4
3181
#44
22.71.7
21.122.7
Auto7.3
Teleop11.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned