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Red104
62435.3
716628.3
409927.5
Blue83
413115.9
540930.8
566729.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10286406012014016018010483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
35.30.9
35.636.5
Auto10.3
Teleop22.1
End2.9
red by 4.5
5409
#50
30.80.2
32.732.9
Auto5.7
Teleop16.3
End8.7
Second
7166
#41
28.30.9
24.825.7
Auto8.9
Teleop17.4
End1.9
blue by 1.0
5667
#35
29.20.2
28.528.7
Auto9.7
Teleop18.7
End0.8
Third
4099
#64
27.50.9
30.131.0
Auto9.0
Teleop17.4
End1.2
red by 11.6
4131
#71
15.90.2
18.618.8
Auto6.1
Teleop7.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed51%Ensemble oddsEarned