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Red73
214537.2
900820.6
365422.9
Blue85
766023.0
742130.9
970920.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86760501001507385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2145
#15
37.20.6
33.833.3
Auto13.9
Teleop21.0
End2.2
red by 6.3
7421
#43
30.90.8
30.030.8
Auto10.7
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
3654
#57
22.90.6
22.522.0
Auto10.1
Teleop12.0
End0.8
blue by 0.1
7660
#39
23.00.8
20.221.0
Auto9.2
Teleop10.4
End3.4
Third
9008
#66
20.60.6
19.919.4
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.0
red by 0.4
9709
#38
20.20.8
19.320.1
Auto9.0
Teleop9.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed