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Red99
220043.2
212938.4
888216.7
Blue96
253943.5
241222.0
93031.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051000501502009996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.3
41.641.9
Auto12.3
Teleop23.5
End7.4
blue by 0.3
43.50.3
38.138.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
2129
#23
38.40.3
36.436.7
Auto13.3
Teleop23.0
End2.1
red by 6.8
930
#27
31.60.3
30.430.8
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
Third
8882
#65
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto6.8
Teleop9.3
End0.6
blue by 5.3
2412
#58
22.00.3
22.222.6
Auto11.1
Teleop10.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
59%Ensemble oddsEarned33%Ensemble oddsMissed