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Red111
93031.6
253943.5
248145.8
Blue142
447638.6
702839.1
259041.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13612880100120160180200111142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#21
45.80.4
46.245.8
Auto12.3
Teleop30.5
End3.0
red by 4.4
2590
#11
41.40.3
40.741.0
Auto14.8
Teleop21.7
End4.9
Second
43.50.4
43.843.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 4.4
7028
#20
39.10.3
38.338.6
Auto11.7
Teleop27.3
End0.1
Third
930
#27
31.60.4
31.931.6
Auto9.7
Teleop21.7
End0.1
blue by 7.0
4476
#22
38.60.3
37.938.2
Auto10.0
Teleop26.0
End2.6