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Red127
32118.3
452243.0
169054.5
Blue91
14835.3
715733.3
13141.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1291235010015020012791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.50.0
54.454.5
Auto17.1
Teleop32.0
End5.3
red by 13.1
131
#8
41.40.7
42.141.4
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Second
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto13.3
Teleop25.3
End4.3
red by 7.7
148
#24
35.30.7
36.035.3
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
Third
321
#45
18.30.0
18.318.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.8
End0.4
blue by 15.0
7157
#39
33.30.7
34.033.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3