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Red121
13141.4
318425.1
14835.3
Blue140
331438.3
44942.0
42232.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012450100150200121140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
41.40.6
41.542.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
blue by 0.6
449
#21
42.01.6
40.442.0
Auto16.0
Teleop22.2
End3.8
Second
148
#24
35.30.6
35.436.1
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
blue by 3.0
3314
#18
38.31.6
38.440.0
Auto14.0
Teleop19.3
End4.9
Third
3184
#44
25.10.6
24.425.1
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End3.9
blue by 7.6
422
#5
32.61.6
31.633.3
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
90%Ensemble oddsEarned80%Ensemble oddsEarned