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Qual 1182024 Daly Division
Red97
423732.2
943226.7
887330.8
Blue101
833810.5
286930.5
206734.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1007820406012014097101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4237
#23
32.20.6
31.6→32.2
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
blue by 2.1
2067
#26
34.30.8
34.0→34.9
Auto11.3
Teleop18.1
End4.8
Second
8873
#70
30.80.6
30.1→30.8
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End2.9
red by 0.2
2869
#19
30.50.8
29.7→30.5
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
9432
#62
26.70.6
25.8→26.5
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End-0.1
red by 16.2
8338
#58
10.50.8
9.6→10.5
Auto5.5
Teleop3.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned