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Red126
546045.5
11841.0
171033.8
Blue143
2744.1
36847.0
69440.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133146050100200250300126143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.50.3
45.846.1
Auto14.0
Teleop26.7
End4.8
blue by 1.5
368
#13
47.00.7
46.747.4
Auto16.8
Teleop23.4
End6.8
Second
118
#17
41.00.3
42.342.6
Auto14.0
Teleop21.2
End5.8
blue by 3.1
27
#28
44.10.7
44.745.4
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
Third
1710
#16
33.80.3
33.834.0
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
blue by 6.5
694
#14
40.30.7
39.440.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
96%Ensemble oddsEarned73%Ensemble oddsEarned