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Red78
691125.1
940012.5
198627.5
Blue66
5128.8
942710.8
482827.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73780501001507866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#36
27.50.1
29.029.1
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
blue by 1.3
51
#46
28.80.9
29.728.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.6
End2.6
Second
6911
#30
25.10.1
25.025.1
Auto5.0
Teleop17.9
End2.2
blue by 2.4
4828
#49
27.50.9
28.427.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Third
9400
#51
12.50.1
12.412.5
Auto5.6
Teleop6.9
End-0.0
red by 1.7
9427
#60
10.80.9
11.710.8
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned35%Ensemble oddsMissed