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Red56
871711.3
360330.1
190220.4
Blue64
482827.5
913413.5
42232.6
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69832040601001201405664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3603
#68
30.10.5
28.728.2
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End1.9
blue by 2.6
422
#5
32.60.9
30.529.7
Auto9.8
Teleop20.8
End2.1
Second
1902
#66
20.40.5
20.319.8
Auto4.0
Teleop14.9
End1.6
blue by 7.1
4828
#49
27.50.9
29.028.1
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Third
8717
#67
11.30.6
14.914.2
Auto5.7
Teleop3.3
End2.3
blue by 2.2
9134
#64
13.50.9
13.612.7
Auto7.0
Teleop5.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed