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Red95
171033.8
153832.1
423732.2
Blue61
38639.2
482827.5
492027.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977540601201401609561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#16
33.80.5
28.128.6
Auto12.7
Teleop17.7
End3.4
red by 6.3
4828
#49
27.50.6
29.629.0
Auto10.1
Teleop15.2
End2.2
Second
4237
#23
32.20.5
25.526.1
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
red by 5.1
4920
#69
27.10.6
28.628.0
Auto10.4
Teleop15.1
End1.6
Third
1538
#43
32.10.5
31.131.7
Auto11.6
Teleop18.5
End2.0
red by 22.8
3863
#74
9.20.6
12.111.5
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed