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Red109
593435.0
150634.4
11841.0
Blue98
423732.2
177152.6
64923.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120111608010014016018010998

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#17
41.00.3
42.642.3
Auto14.0
Teleop21.2
End5.8
blue by 11.6
52.61.0
51.250.1
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
Second
5934
#15
35.00.3
30.730.3
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
red by 2.8
4237
#23
32.21.0
26.125.0
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
1506
#20
34.40.3
33.933.6
Auto9.8
Teleop18.5
End6.1
red by 10.5
649
#40
23.91.0
24.323.3
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
96%Ensemble oddsEarned70%Ensemble oddsEarned