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Red100
107632.7
318425.1
69440.3
Blue87
593435.0
2744.1
887330.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95121608014016018010087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#14
40.30.7
36.637.3
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
blue by 3.9
27
#28
44.11.3
46.244.9
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
Second
1076
#32
32.70.7
32.533.2
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.4
blue by 2.2
5934
#15
35.01.3
30.329.0
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
3184
#44
25.10.7
20.220.9
Auto8.2
Teleop13.0
End3.9
blue by 5.7
8873
#70
30.81.3
30.228.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsMissed