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Red93
177152.6
47355.6
808528.8
Blue88
69440.3
521630.0
14835.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9112360801001401601809388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.4
51.552.0
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
red by 12.4
694
#14
40.32.2
37.335.1
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Second
8085
#48
28.80.4
28.528.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
blue by 6.5
148
#24
35.32.2
39.837.6
Auto10.8
Teleop20.6
End3.9
Third
4735
#55
5.60.4
6.36.7
Auto1.7
Teleop3.4
End0.6
blue by 24.3
5216
#12
30.02.2
30.628.5
Auto8.1
Teleop19.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
86%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed