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Red86
13141.4
107632.7
81539.5
Blue61
808528.8
710221.1
942710.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79682040601001201408661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#8
41.40.4
33.433.7
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
red by 12.6
8085
#48
28.80.1
28.328.2
Auto8.8
Teleop14.5
End5.5
Second
1076
#32
32.70.4
31.131.4
Auto10.1
Teleop19.3
End3.4
red by 11.6
7102
#56
21.10.1
22.822.7
Auto7.6
Teleop11.0
End2.5
Third
8153
#41
9.50.5
6.16.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End-0.5
blue by 1.3
9427
#60
10.80.1
11.611.5
Auto4.2
Teleop4.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsMissed66%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned25%Ensemble oddsEarned