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Red116
440325.8
2744.1
360330.1
Blue113
745130.4
423732.2
13141.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1121070200400600800116113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#28
44.11.0
45.946.9
Auto11.7
Teleop29.1
End3.3
red by 2.7
131
#8
41.40.9
37.138.0
Auto9.3
Teleop25.1
End7.0
Second
3603
#68
30.11.0
28.029.0
Auto10.2
Teleop18.0
End1.9
blue by 2.1
4237
#23
32.20.9
29.330.2
Auto12.2
Teleop17.0
End3.0
Third
4403
#52
25.81.0
27.128.1
Auto7.0
Teleop16.3
End2.4
blue by 4.6
7451
#42
30.40.9
31.332.2
Auto10.5
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned68%Ensemble oddsEarned