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Red91
44942.0
750124.6
948021.7
Blue93
286930.5
281312.9
715733.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97770501502009193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#21
42.00.3
40.440.8
Auto16.0
Teleop22.2
End3.8
red by 8.7
7157
#39
33.30.7
32.633.3
Auto12.3
Teleop18.8
End2.3
Second
7501
#54
24.60.3
24.925.3
Auto11.5
Teleop11.6
End1.5
blue by 5.9
2869
#19
30.50.7
28.429.1
Auto9.7
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Third
9480
#53
21.70.3
20.420.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.6
End2.4
red by 8.7
2813
#59
12.90.7
11.111.8
Auto6.7
Teleop6.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed