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Red111
177152.6
198627.5
11841.0
Blue137
69440.3
402839.0
58141.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135135100110120130140150160111137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.60.4
53.052.6
Auto19.8
Teleop27.2
End5.6
red by 10.8
581
#11
41.80.3
42.142.4
Auto14.6
Teleop21.7
End5.4
Second
118
#17
41.00.4
41.441.0
Auto14.0
Teleop21.2
End5.8
red by 0.8
694
#14
40.30.3
40.640.9
Auto9.9
Teleop24.8
End5.5
Third
1986
#36
27.50.4
27.927.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.2
End2.2
blue by 11.4
39.00.3
39.339.6
Auto11.0
Teleop21.6
End6.4