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Red17
46226.0
74410.5
215211.6
Blue86
858124.5
584223.7
694823.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303702060801786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2152
#44
11.60.9
9.68.7
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End0.3
blue by 12.9
24.55.9
8.114.1
Auto8.8
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
744
#28
10.50.9
9.78.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End2.8
blue by 13.3
23.73.6
14.017.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Third
4622
#54
6.01.4
8.77.3
Auto3.6
Teleop1.7
End0.7
blue by 17.6
6948
#16
23.65.9
10.416.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed