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Red13
74596.8
409110.6
87914.4
Blue77
93008.4
17934.1
38624.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196904060801001377

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4091
#30
10.61.1
10.39.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 23.4
179
#4
34.10.1
30.030.1
Auto15.3
Teleop12.7
End6.0
Second
7459
#34
6.80.9
8.27.3
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 17.4
386
#14
24.20.1
21.021.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Third
8791
#58
4.41.1
4.93.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.5
blue by 4.0
9300
#33
8.40.1
5.45.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed41%Ensemble oddsMissed