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Red26
87538.0
80669.5
105619.6
Blue1
87914.4
27977.8
97785.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332701020304050261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#10
19.60.5
11.110.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 11.9
2797
#60
7.82.7
8.35.6
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Second
8066
#39
9.50.5
9.08.5
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End1.0
red by 3.7
9778
#56
5.90.6
5.96.5
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End0.7
Third
8753
#49
8.00.6
9.18.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 3.5
8791
#58
4.42.7
7.54.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed