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Red43
362711.2
215211.6
23317.9
Blue45
32429.5
105619.6
74596.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39321020506070804345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#11
17.90.6
15.215.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 1.7
1056
#10
19.61.0
16.217.2
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
2152
#44
11.60.6
10.310.9
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End0.3
red by 2.1
3242
#51
9.51.7
6.38.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.9
Third
3627
#29
11.20.6
8.69.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.8
red by 4.4
7459
#34
6.81.0
7.48.4
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed