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Red55
832419.7
514516.0
90408.6
Blue37
152316.7
80579.6
87538.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060805537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#12
19.71.2
15.616.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 3.0
1523
#15
16.70.1
14.514.6
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
5145
#26
16.01.2
14.715.9
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 6.4
8057
#52
9.60.2
8.99.1
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Third
9040
#36
8.61.2
7.18.2
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
red by 0.6
8753
#49
8.00.2
9.79.9
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed