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Red47
13697.7
159218.1
105619.6
Blue8
15574.9
74596.8
20804.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4625020406080100478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#10
19.60.5
17.217.7
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 12.8
7459
#34
6.81.4
8.47.0
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Second
1592
#25
18.10.5
16.417.0
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End2.8
red by 13.2
1557
#47
4.92.2
8.56.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
Third
1369
#48
7.70.8
5.76.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
red by 2.8
2080
#59
4.92.2
8.46.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed