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Red21
15574.9
647311.4
87538.0
Blue53
581619.6
877516.3
93132.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29450204060802153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6473
#31
11.40.9
12.411.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.4
blue by 8.2
5816
#27
19.60.4
19.218.8
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End0.6
Second
8753
#49
8.01.3
9.38.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 8.4
8775
#20
16.30.4
16.716.3
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End0.9
Third
1557
#47
4.91.3
6.34.9
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
red by 2.4
9313
#55
2.60.4
2.92.6
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed