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Red81
159218.1
884123.0
8622.2
Blue61
858124.5
23317.9
694823.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6870506080901008161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.00.3
22.622.9
Auto11.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
blue by 1.4
24.50.1
23.423.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
86
#9
22.20.3
21.722.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
blue by 1.5
6948
#16
23.60.1
22.622.5
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
1592
#25
18.10.3
17.717.9
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End2.8
red by 0.2
233
#11
17.90.0
17.117.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.7