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Red99
152316.7
555730.6
18040.6
Blue59
584223.7
38624.2
743122.8
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions997640601201409959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
40.60.3
40.340.6
Auto15.0
Teleop22.6
End2.9
red by 16.4
386
#14
24.20.3
24.524.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Second
30.60.3
30.330.6
Auto12.7
Teleop15.6
End2.4
red by 6.9
23.70.3
24.023.7
Auto7.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Third
1523
#15
16.70.3
16.416.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 6.0
7431
#22
22.80.3
23.022.8
Auto7.5
Teleop12.7
End2.5