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Red41
940412.1
190217.4
87887.3
Blue53
11833.8
97115.7
94936.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29520204060801004153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#37
17.40.8
12.813.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
blue by 16.4
118
#1
33.80.3
28.128.3
Auto15.0
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Second
9404
#24
12.10.5
8.79.2
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
red by 5.5
9493
#32
6.60.4
6.46.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
8788
#26
7.30.8
7.48.2
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
red by 1.6
9711
#31
5.70.4
9.810.2
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed