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Red12
238319.5
93131.7
86249.2
Blue33
832413.5
93005.3
61849.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433101002003004001233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#18
19.51.7
19.017.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 6.0
8324
#25
13.50.4
11.311.7
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.0
Second
8624
#28
9.22.8
12.49.6
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 0.2
6184
#21
9.40.4
9.910.3
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Third
9313
#30
1.72.8
5.93.1
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.2
blue by 3.5
9300
#41
5.30.4
8.28.6
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed