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Red47
58729.7
18035.3
93005.3
Blue21
45628.0
527613.9
96989.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433102060804721

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
35.30.7
23.424.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.5
End2.7
red by 21.4
5276
#23
13.90.9
10.79.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Second
5872
#10
9.70.7
6.67.3
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 0.5
9698
#33
9.21.0
9.28.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Third
9300
#41
5.31.1
7.18.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
blue by 2.8
4562
#22
8.00.9
9.48.5
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed