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Red16
93005.3
97207.2
238319.5
Blue39
94936.6
2338.6
581614.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333410203040501639

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#18
19.51.0
17.316.3
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End1.3
red by 4.7
14.81.2
10.611.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
9720
#38
7.21.7
5.84.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End0.7
blue by 1.4
233
#43
8.61.2
10.912.1
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
9300
#41
5.31.7
8.66.8
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
blue by 1.3
9493
#32
6.61.2
6.88.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed