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Red60
547223.1
255615.8
31648.2
Blue45
97647.6
940412.1
93131.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions552204060801006045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#13
23.10.2
23.223.4
Auto5.9
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 11.0
9404
#24
12.10.1
9.79.8
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Second
2556
#11
15.80.3
14.714.9
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
red by 8.2
9764
#42
7.60.1
12.412.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Third
3164
#29
8.20.3
7.78.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 6.5
9313
#30
1.70.1
1.71.8
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned